Originally Posted by
FriendlyPilot
If this is based on retirements alone I think we will still see pilots hired less than 3 years being able to upgrade to NBCA over the next few years as the new planes keep getting delivered. So yes, someone hired today could still upgrade by 2029 if we do indeed get 400 more planes and have 2,500 retirements. Should be easy.
No, it’s not based on retirements alone. Those at least have to be replaced in order to achieve the percentages in the first part otherwise the bottom would perpetually be at the bottom. Hiring around 1k/yr would make it so that someone hired today would be around 75% in 3 years or so.