upgrade time when I was hired in ‘15 was 10 years. I upgraded in 7.5. Shortly after it went down to 6.5. Now it’s in the 7-8 yr range. That’s for those hired back in 17-18. We have a gap in hiring from the max grounding, covid, and this last 18 mos of stagnation too so things could drop quick and then go back up as we hired a buttload post covid.

Most Jr is BWI right now. MCO ebbs and flows…some guys in my class got it as CA’s around 8-8.5 yrs seniority but they’re still really jr because nobody leaves MCO unless they retire or go in a body bag.

There’s no realistic way for anyone, at any airline to say with any certainty what will happen in 5 years. Think anyone at NK thought they’d be in their 2nd Ch 11 5 yrs ago?