Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot

Good analysis and explanation. Also remember that almost all of these people upgrading leaving a category that isn't allowing backfills right now, will just add to the future vacancy bids when the training capacity is more suited to have more CA training. 737 and Airbus are growing fleets as we get 200 of those planes in the next 2 years and 50 more 787s. I can't imagine not continuing to have vacancy bids, if not even more, as retirements ramp up over the next few years.