Originally Posted by
skydriver21
Is the 8+ year out assuming no growth in the company and going only off of retirements?
Yes. Most rumors floating around 1800-2000 hires for 2026- them finally realizing they need pilots to run an airline. Training is on fire right now. With steeper deliveries (especially WB’s as they cause much more movement) over the next few years plus retirements it’s not hard to imagine moving anywhere from 6-8% a year. 80% is the general NBA plug, so a 3-5 year upgrade is much more realistic depending on base/fleet.