Originally Posted by
rickair7777
No not sustainable without ridiculously unrealistic growth.
If average pilots spends 30 years at his major, and 60% of pilots are CA's, that's a 12 year average upgrade.
Add in some realistic growth and you get maybe 10 years.
Account for those who bypass, you can maybe typically sneak in at the 8 year point (but then stagnate and maybe get forced back down).
5 8-9 year captains in SFO were involuntarily downgraded. 9-10 year SFO captains are next. More at risk with the proffering reduction bid shenanigans at play on the current reduction bid round.