Originally Posted by gloopy

I'm going to go with a range of somewhere between zero percent (high end) and negative 1200% (low end) that we get any 7MAX (or 319NEO’s) ever. New or used. Not going to happen.

Lets face it, if pilots were running airlines the entire domestic fleet would be 757’s with afterburners, every flight would leave with full tanks and every trip would be premium pay plus someone else getting triple pay to sit at home. And we’d go bankrupt in months.

We tend to think of the “mission” as raw operational purists in a DoD(W) style world where the will of the mission is its own justification. IRL there’s shareholders, mini empire’s with sometimes myopic bonus-centric concerns and sometimes even profit sharing to consider.

So what about those few rare markets where planes like that would be more optimal for the “mission”? Do we go with a much higher CASM (even if only on paper) sub fleet that we carry all of the time? Or do we just block a ton of seats on whatever can do it half full and not have to worry about it?

Zero chance IMO that we get the smallest narrowbody offered in a range going forward. I also doubt we will get any MAX8’s or 320NEO’s, the latter will only maybe happening if a desperate lessor somewhere gives us some orphaned former Spirit ones for a deep, deep discount. And that also very unlikely. It’s also funny to hear any 737-8 (even the MAX8) be referred to in a way that implies stellar performer.