Let's have a theoretical discussion about outlook.

If we have person A "We will get a contract tomorrow I heard from my cousin's uncle, a former ramper who dated a flight attendant" and they say it for 5 years, they will be wrong every single time they say it until they are correct. Now person B says "We will never get a contract no matter what so burn the place down, the sun will burn out before we get a dime" is correct every single time they say this until they are not. Who is more accurate?

Pilots believe whatever they want to believe. Some believe working for a ULCC is the same as flying widebody at a major. Some believed the former Exco used a third-party vendor to cheat in their election. Some believed they really gave Maury the bird by rejecting pay raises two years ago that were just as good if not better than the current offer. Some pilots think PBS is better than a currently 0% unstacking CBI. (To be fair, HDMWD does screw people, but nothing like PBS.) Some pilots thought it was acceptable for the Local to be taken over by National over “charges that should place the Exco in jail" how did that go? Some believe an AIP is the same thing as a full CBA. Some thought they were one day away from being released to strike.

So if a person was to point out all the times pilots thought something wrong is that really being negative or just accurate? Asking for a friend