Old 07-15-2008 | 06:20 AM
  #24  
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IFly17
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Joined: Mar 2008
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From: CL-65 FO
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I think our hiring is all going to depend on what happens with the UA schedule over the next 6 months. I have a hard time seeing UA parking a bunch of planes and axing the frequencies outright. Their bread and butter is international flights, and they need traffic to feed the big boys and the guppys' provide a ton of that feed.

Here is a bit of a scenario I envision--and I may be way off so guys, please feel free to chime in: UA feels they need people to come into a hub and out internationally to make money. They also want people overseas buying tickets to come to come here to help fill the flights on the way back. They know they will have a lot harder time getting passengers when they say "we can get you to/from the states, but we dropped service to all cities near you so now you need to buy a ticket on Southwest to start/finish your trip." It will drive people to look at other airlines where pax might be able to fly the entire trip on AA or DL. They can't get rid of all those flights because it will reduce how competitive they are.

I read an article in Crains Chicago Business that for example said ORD-BOS is going to lose 1% of the flights but 27% of the seats. ORD-LGA is going to gain flights but lose seats. Those are just a couple changes mentioned. That sounds an awful lot like RJs replacing mainline planes. That could mean growth for us and that is why I think we will wait and see what UA does before we hire.
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