An entry in an internet forum isn't exactly something you want to make career choices off of.

Only guidance I can give you on active duty side--no matter what things are like right now, the only guarentee you have is that it'll be different by the time you get there.

I do have trouble seeing guard UAV units switching to manned platforms, I just don't see that one getting undone. However, once you got wings and are already in guard--you don't always have to dance with the one that brought you. Met plenty of guys who've switched units/airframes for one reason or another.

Good luck