Originally Posted by
captscott26
Haha, yes it is! They have been saying 2010 since mid summer, and there have only been "rumors" to the contrary, so I think 2010 is a pretty good estimate. Thats not that far away anyway, it would mean hiring by the end of next year.
I don't think attrition has even really started yet. I think they will need to hire sooner than the end of 09. Most people who were "wait to see" and now are "lemme get outta here" did not even have a chance to interview yet. I know several guys who have interviews lined up, overseas for the most part. NK had high attrition in 07/08. I think after this furlough many folks made up their mind for good. I believe attrition will be very high the moment any of the usual domestic places start to hire again. Especially among DTW guys and girls. With the news about DTW, I think their last hopes are evaporating right about now. I feel bad for them.
Even before the furlough I have flown with several real senior (but still relatively young) captains that had their stuff in at the typical places like UPS, FEDEX, and SW. I am sure most of them are still here but when you hear captains leaving, you know attrition is high.