the interesting twist will be this..... by the time the next hiring cycle at several majors kicks in.... lets say oh ... 2 -3 years..... and assuming the mainline type carriers remain essentially the same.... there will probably be on the order of say 1000-2000 jobs each year to account for retirements. NOW..... when that cycle kicks in.... many of the current CA's at regional carriers will have been a capt 3-7 years or more.... and albeit not a GREAT wage... will be making lets say.... 70k+ per year with ( depending on their personal circumstance ) perhaps a decent QOL..... how many will become lifers and stay were they are..... ??? I suspect many of the next group of regional pilots to move on to the mainline carriers to come from the bottom third of the CA's lists.... and of course any and all FO's who can meet the minimums...... what says the group?