Originally Posted by
acl65pilot
You are correct, but it depends on what is cut and where the frequency is cut. I said it six months ago that if we announced another pull back we would probably see furloughs. Well, I expected to see a bigger pull back a few months ago. We really have waited too long. That said, they can run the numbers based on our forecast and come up with a metric that states we can furlough a few hundred for 18 to 24 months, they may do it. The bet would be that with the training restrictions at CPS many would not take it and move on. It is a gamble they may not want to take.
The numbers have not been run yet. We will see what Ken says next week.
I had recently heard that 18 month furloughs could be cost effective. I also heard that we are close to that right now meaning that we are right around a 15 month furlough therefore not making it cost effective yet. I don't know how this new pullback will effect those #'s, but if they need the same staffing NEXT summer that they need THIS summer then furloughs aren't an option. Now I suppose they could shift flying to DCIs next summer which may allow furloughs, but I'm guessing we are still on the fence every week. Talk about living on the edge.
