I think the earliest any of us will be called back is spring 2010. The summer travel season is the busiest so they would have called us back by now if they really needed us. The fall is slow and they'll just JM their way through the holiday travel season till they lose the 20 -200s (net loss of 10). Then they'll probably furlough everyone else who isn't protected by the furlough protection clause (40 pilots not protected?) though management will probably find a way around the clause.
The fact of the matter is that next year this time we will be about 100-120 pilots fat again from the net loss of the 10 -200s. So unless we see some serious attrition (not likely) or the economy turns around then we are all going to be stuck on the street for awhile. We will be even fatter on pilots if PBS gets passed.
I think overall Skywest/ASA is in a strong position but what has me most concerned is ASA's exposure to the -200. I wish we had been able to get in on more -700s and -900s when they were being awarded by Delta or if we had looked into a new turboprop.
How many more years do we have left on our contract with Delta?