Perhaps. But I heard most DC-10 folks are going to training this year.

I predict the CDG domicile will make manning worse with the elimination of most, if not all, SIBA. The filling of HKG will do the same.

One of the next bids will likely, IMHO, have another excess off the Bus.

With the 777 coming online we will very temporarily have a need for more folks. Then, after ultra long range ops of the 777 get going, the number of MD-11 lines will shrink.

727 folks going to 757 will not help. We all know what 3 to 2 man cockpit conversion does to manning.

I see no movement upwards, except those going to CDG or 777, for 1-2 years.


As a side note -- How many 777s will be needed, doing ultra long haul, to replace MD11s on long, 2 leg international routes now? 90% of currently operating MD11s? 80%? What's that going to do to manning?