Originally Posted by
TonyWilliams
We'll be back to 200 hour wonders within 5 years. And when they absolutely can't fill a now 100 seat aircraft FO job, only then may the pay go up.
My prediction; There will be "emergency" rule making for a US multi-crew license before anybody gets paid more. Less than 100 hours in the right seat. Just like in the rest of the world now.... except they get paid more than the US.
I don't see this happening here in the US. There is NO shortage of pilots. DAL alone is planning to cut additional 10% of flying and is planning to cut back on international flying. With the age 65 rule it will be at least another 3 to 5 years before these senior guys start to retire and once they retire, many of their jobs will not be replaced. DAL is reported to be about 1500 pilots overstaffed. All US major airlines (Legacy) are planning to cut back on both domestic and international flying by at least 14 to 17% for 2009 and beyond. If anything, standards for part 121 should go up, not downward.