Originally Posted by
Tinpusher007
You're probably correct. And I will submit that what we can also be sure NOT to see is a corresponding increase in starting pay.

Well I woudn't be too sure about that. Two possible scenarios would be:
Less supply drives demand up (in a few years of course) thus forcing carriers to raise the bar to attract the "talent".
or
Congress grows a pair and puts two and two together with regards to the responsibility that we carry on shoulders in relation to our base pay and puts pressure on the carriers "in the interest of safety". This one would be a bit more tricky and would require a bit more lobbying and public support (you hear that ALPA?).
We shall see.