Originally Posted by
USMC3197
2011 recall at ASA??? I think 2010 recall is just as realistic just attrition alone would make that a reasonable estimate.
John where would these other 700/900's come from on another 2-1 deal? DCI has already MAXED out their larger AC's for connection flights.
What is the current attrition rate? I would guess it's near 0.
Q1 2011 seems realistic to me for the following reasons:
- Scott said not to expect any changes till summer 2010 in that email about block hours. If they can make it through this summer with the record number of block hours with out recalls there is no reason why they can't do it next summer, especially with 20 CRJs (net negative 10 aircraft) leaving the fleet.
- PBS could slash our staffing needs by 10% or more if it is voted in
- If the rumors of another 2-1 swap are true (don't know) we'll have a net loss of 20 aircraft (when added with the other 2-1 swap) and at roughly 5.5 crews per aircraft, that's over 220 pilots we won't need anymore.
There is also the Skywest wild card, what's to stop them from taking more ASA flying to avoid furloughs on their side?