I do see a pilot shortage in the next 3-4 years. Its a 3 fold problem:

1) Age 65 is a bandaid that will start coming off in 3.5 years.

2) Regional pilots in general (mostly captains though) will be further entrenched at their regional in terms of pay and QOL, and won't want to leave.

3) Nobody is starting flight training anymore. I wouldn't do it if I knew it would be 100k of debt to get into this.

I think majors are going to eliminate the pic requirement all together. Hopefully multi crew and outsourcing don't ruin it all.