Originally Posted by
AirbusA320
Some unintended consequences of the 1,500 hour & ATP rule.
In about one year after passage of the law the regional flight school mills will have a shrinking enrollment base. This is do to the amount TT a graduate has, the three year window to get an ATP and the amount of hours one could fly per year to build up to the 1,500 hours. At some point regionals will demand an ATP upon hire as the three year window will be closing and they don't want to be in a position of hiring and training only to let someone go because they won't have an ATP by the deadline. Flight schools mills will greatly downsize or go out of business.
Flight instructors will get dirt pay as they can't jump to regionals with 400TT.
Freight operators will pay dirt as guys/gals want to build time. We may even see some of those pay us to fly as SIC to build time deals. Even IFR Part 135 demand 1,200tt.
I think many new folks will bypass flying as a career.
Bad news for guys wanting to start out - good for the profession.