I would say unlikely. I am hoping for that myself but I am assuming if they were able to cover the summer with about 400 pilots, they should be able to cover winter since winter is not quite as busy as summer.

However there may be a tiny amount of attrition toward overseas jobs, and from other factors that would require just a couple of peeps. In addition, if crew scheduling will cry them a river, they may be more willing to call a few more back compared to summer levels, because this time they don't have to worry about furlough, since those A320s are coming soon after the winter season is over.

So that said, I would give it a less than 50% chance. We will find out in October.