Originally Posted by
boeingt7
I keep hearing from posters about how they think the ATP requirement will not be passed. Whats the reason for this?
Also, everyone at this meeting at DCA thought that the ATP requirement will not help out the situation?....well of course they think that way...they're in the business that creates the fatasy for kids straight out of high school to go from zero to hero in less than a year, if that didn't happen then their enrollment would go way down.
Why is everyone so enamoured with the ATP requirement. Even if it becomes law tomorrow, how long do you think it will take for it to have an actual effect on hiring?
Lets look at it hypothetically. MAYBE in 2010 regionals will start recalling pilots. So I am guessing that most people aggree that there wont be any real hiring off the street till 2011-2012? And who will be the first to get hired? Most likely the Ameriflight types who have a couple thousand hours flying 135 in piston twins. So lets say 2013 before the CFI types get a call, and by then (thats 4 years from now) many of them should have at least 1500 hours anyways.
My point is, wether this becomes law or not, A perspective student today must accept that he/she will need a MINIMUM of 1500 hours before getting an interview. The ATP requirement will not, in my opinion, have an effect on the industry till at least 6-7 years from now.
As I said previously, of course pilot mills are panicing and calling this a crisis. They cant print those adds in Flying Magazine saying "0 to right seat in 180 days!" And as the economy turns around, wether this ATP req happens or not, they have to find some way to justify themselves as they will not be sending these "graduates" with 250hrs to the airlines. A crisis indeed.