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Old 11-17-2009 | 10:20 AM
  #70  
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aussieflyboy
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From: CL605 PIC
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Originally Posted by Clocks
If you figure of the 347, 275 will eventually accept recall (wild ass guess).

If the UAL recall brings back 100 (optimistic), that means after this deal there will still be ~ 175 who will eventually accept recall.

After the initial recall they probably wont recall any more in 2010, since 10 UAL planes leave in October.

So starting in Spring 2011, xjet needs to start recalling to handle attrition, we're down to just 6 months worth of recalls, and everyone is back by fall 2011. Without the UAL flying recalls would have been over 9 months worth of classes, and would have had to extend to Spring 2012.

At least that's my completely-unsubstantiated-wild-ass-guess of how the next few years will play out.
That attrition you're referring to - is that the same attrition that's seen me move up a whole 30 numbers since this time last year?
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