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Old 01-05-2010 | 09:15 AM
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rickair7777
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
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Originally Posted by PinnacleFO
so i guess the question becomes, does united, delta, and airways cancel their contracts then?
DAL: Absolutely, expect paperwork later today, effective date next Monday (long enough to realign some DCI flying).

UAL: They already exercised their option to get rid of D8's and 200's, nothing left but 700's. They will definitely not accept any new 700's. Whether they want get rid of their existing 700's depends on...

- UAX capacity situation...will they need more feed this summer?
- Mesa costs vs. other regionals (direct costs plus the hassle of their poor reliability and difficulty to work with)
- Possible concessions mesa might be willing to make in order to stay employed.

US: Similar to UA, except 40 900's would be a little harder to replace. UA has plenty of 700's at other UAX carriers, but US has only the YV 900's so US would have to give up that gauge niche at least temporarily. I'd say mesa's best odds are keeping those 900's (but losing any remaining US 200's) . Not sure about the US D8's . Of course DP hates their guts, so he may just cut em loose while he has the chance. SKW could probably buy the 900's at auction, but that would take a while so there would be an interruption.

I think a likely scenario would be no DAL, little or no UA, 40 US 900's and maybe a few D8's. Basically a PHX hometown regional. About 400 pilots left.
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