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Old 01-08-2010 | 04:35 PM
  #62  
eaglefly
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Joined: Jun 2008
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It's tough to be a player in the feeder market when no one wants your services. Additionally, there's too many players as it is.

DAL will dump Mesa eventually regardless of whether a new management team is put in place........Mesa's already wee-wee'd in their wheaties and are costing them time and trouble. You can't poke a major in the eye and expect not to be shown the door.........permanently.

UAL is unlikely to welcome them back for the same reasons aside from all the current feeders that still are too many. They already have a bad taste in their mouths as it is...........and enough trouble staying solvent on their own.

U MIGHT retain some feed from Mesa, but more than likely a shell of their current flying and only larger RJ's................maybe.

AA and CAL...............forget it. AA might only use Mesa in the future as a whipsaw tool by accepting a bid and then letting Mesa whittle down the cost and then going with the cheapest OTHER carrier.........that is if Mesa even survives.

Out of 130 aircraft, it would seem the best case scenario if Mesa were to come out "lean and mean" would be perhaps 25 aircraft or so. It would be lean insofar as existance and mean with regard to any surviving employees. I would think if you're not in the top 25% of seniority there, you're toast and the bottom half of that 25% would be back to F/O. Of course, that assumes OJ doesn't furlough out of seniority by fleet type.

This situtation is extremely downside-heavy for Mesa pilots.
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