Originally Posted by
seafeye
What i can see happening is that the companies (GE, Bombardier, Emb)that own the CRJ's/ERJ's are going to be forced to renegotiate the leases at a reduced rate. This is bad news for everyone because it will allow Mesa management to once again undercut everyone else. What does this mean to a non-mesa pilot? Where do you think your managment is going to look when they need to cut costs and match Mesa?
Chapter 11 will help Mesa lower their costs and make everyone else more expensive.
Does GE, Bombardier, Emb have to renegotiate? No, but really what choice will they have. Get some payment for the 50 seaters or no payment at all. I don't expect Mesa to shrink its size to levels that others say only because the 50 seaters aren't going anywhere.
What we can hope for is that the creditors have other takers for the airplanes and force Mesa into Chapter 7. But I don't see that happening.
This is hypothisis at best.
I think regardless of what occurs, Mesa has little future in the U.S. feed business. In order for Mesa to be a supposed model to leverage everyone else down, they'd actually have to be a company that these majors would truly consider using. They wouldn't make a very good tool for bluffing and they certainly wouldn't be reinvited to start the same old disaster most of them are attmpting to rid themselves of.
Mesa is a declining interest at every sinlge major airline its ever been affiliated with, with the possible exception of U and even that is limited.