Originally Posted by
stbloc
I don't see on that sheet where numbers are lagging. To me it looks like enrollment is up 1.5%. Can you please update us with some figures or PM them to me. I'm interested to know whats in the pipeline since I read conflicting information on various sites.
Thanks
Sure, I reviewed all the past ERAU enrollment stat sheets and posted below the number of new students for each academic year in the Aeronautical Science Program. The figure includes Prescott and Daytona campuses, Spring and Fall semesters of each year.
92-93: 578
93-94: 692
94-95: 696
95-96: 710
96-97: 743
97-98: 968
98-99: 866
99-00: 927
00-01: 935
01-02: 929
02-03: 815
03-04: 712
04-05: 526
05-06: 509
06-07: 571
07-08: 503
08-(spring 09 isnt published yet): 515
Looks like there was a steady increase of Aero Sci students up to 01-02 and then a rapid decrease until leveling off at around 500-600 new students per year (compared to 900-1000 in "good times").
Judging by this, the peak of 01-02 would have graduated 05-06 (which is the same time period for the ultra low time hiring practices at airlines). Going forward there wont be a huge glut of pilots coming out of school like there was pre-2006.
I know this isnt a complete analysis of all possible new pilots, but ERAU is a good indicator of the trends in the industry.