Originally Posted by
forgot to bid
Fantastic post.
There are a lot of smart good people who are going to look at this industry and walk away and you cannot blame them. And the ATP requirement is not going to solve the problem. If anything it'll make it worse in the years to come when hiring picks up. Probably wrong threat again but if mainline pilots are worried today about putting their famliies on a regional jet just wait a couple of years, it'll get a lot worse if progression to a personal ROI for good people doesn't dramatically improve.
FTB... tossing grenades while changing diapers.
Maybe not, but it will go a long way towards solving the problem. First, an ATP requirement will give these low quality entrants some valuable experience and development. Maybe it will weed out the real morons. Secondly, the laws of supply and demand work both ways. by limiting the supply the price will rise. This should in turn attract more qualified and smarter people.
I think our biggest problem will be the lack of military pilots in the future. The Air Force already makes more UAV pilots than real pilots. If the demand rises as predicted, you will see more pressure for the not quite qualified foreign cruise pilot license. That will be a disaster.