Not to be a downer, but I agree. Most of the rumors about growth and quick upgrades have come from guys with very little time in the game. While it is refreshing to have wide eyed optimist amongst our ranks, they have not been around along enough to see many of the SURE DEAL rumors go bye bye. Can't speak for the RD side, but the NWA side since 95 have been told "5 year upgrades, 20 -400 freighters, 10 more 330s, etc. all from guys "in the know(3rd floor Natco types)). I am positive alot of the info on here has been passed along from mediocre (I think Dal calls them 4th floor vs. 3rd floor Natco) 4th floor positions. Whether they are in the know or a low level person who knows. But some guys from both sides (RD's and Nwa guys) have taken these rumors and gone into full speculation mode(both good and bad) full boar. For all of us, especially the junior guys, I hope that some of the good things do pan out, otherwise I see tough time ahead.
Originally Posted by
DelDah Capt
I suspect that Delta would grudgingly accept this deal and divest the 16 slots. My guess is that USAirways is the one who's really going to scuttle it and frankly, I can't blame them since they're losing 33% of what they originally bargained for. Unfortunately, it takes two to tango and we are likely to put up a united front with LCC to try and strong arm a better deal. Thank goodness this industry was 'Deregulated' 30 years ago.
With that said, a loss of this deal represents a lot of flying that's not going to happen. I don't think it means the 'F' word as the summer will be busy enough, but I wouldn't be surprised to see some large displacements on the next bid. Unfortunately, the continued loss of DC9s and the loss of this NYC flying means a lot of extra bodies on narrowbody aircraft and I don't know where those people go.