Originally Posted by
twebb
A shortage of pilots will increase pay...it did in '07 at the regionals for a brief moment
Sorry, but can you tell when this happened at the regionals in 07?
I'm not talking about a long overdue CBA that got signed, I mean a moment where management said "holy crap, we're short on pilots, maybe we need to raise pay!"
Originally Posted by
twebb
This rule is to benefit us 5-10-15 years down the road. My students concern was, if this law passes, they would never get an airline job out of college because they would need 1500 hours.
When I was in college, that wasn't a concern, that was the reality. 2000 TT was considered "low time". No 135/turbine was considered "inexperienced". As well as PFT being the norm at that time, NOT the exception. If you wanted that regional job flying a 19 seat turbo prop for $14/hr, you'd better have, or at least have a way to come up with the $5-6000K that would be needed. Towards the end of the 90's, that number was approaching $10K.
Originally Posted by
twebb
I also hear people say, "I've been told about a pilot shortage since the 80's, it's a lie." This was a known set of years when all these baby boomers would have to retire, and it was right, except it got pushed back because of the age 65 rule. In two years these guys have to retire, if we push these new rules today that will come out in 2 years, we just set ourselves up for something great within the next 10 years.
Fallacy/myth. There hasn't been a pilot shortage since the times when the majors hired pilots with little/zero time and paid for their ratings.
There's only been a shortage of people willing to work for the low wages offered. And even that's a stretch. Pilots will always want to move on to the "next step" even when the pay sucks.