Negative. IIRC, it's about 9 years now. The failed attempt to oust 500 Captains to make room for 2300 Beagles to move up stalled any major movement for the moment. True, that movement would have been short-lived. Right now most are counting on "the gap" to drop upgrade times, but, IMHO, that is an academic circle jerk like "paper" money. It looks good on paper but doesn't really do anything.

If the effort to merge lists is successful (doubtful IMHO), then I foresee little or no movement as AA "right-sizes" itself through attrition but pilots in both unions would have to suffer under the concessions given for company approval of the merger. In a worst case scenario, the economy or industry takes another severe hit (gas prices or terrorism) and there is a furlough of several hundred AA pilots as they park MD-80s as quickly as they did 727s after 9/11.

Sorry to be the bearer of a dim future. Just simply doing my best to keep it realistic.

Our best bet is to seek forging a stronger union in preparation for our 2013 contract negotiations, but I'm in the minority with that outlook.