Originally Posted by
Hot Rod Wannabe
Rick, Again you miss the mark! it isn't about the hours. Is 800 going to make a pilot safe? How about 5000 hours? It isn't the hours, if that were the case explain Cali Colombia? so many case studies that show hours aren't the key factor. Sleep, better rest cycles, and giving the PIC actual athority to tell a dispatcher no way jose! The union didn't win and when this goes in to full bloom it will cripple an already crippled industry.
It is an ugly approach and you should have gone missed!
I don't know about the overall picture Hot Rod - but statisitics that you use are flawed. Of course experienced crews have made mistakes. All crews (for now) are still human. What you DON'T know - and no one can prove - is how many times hours (read as experience) HAS proved the difference in a mishap or a safe trip. Luck or unlucky. My job as a squadron safety officer was almost impossible to quantify. If I didn't do anything and we made it through a year without a mishap - does that mean I was a great safety officer?
Case studies are just that..........studies of mishaps. You learn that mishaps can creep up and bite anyone in the butt; but they show nothing about whether hours are good or otherwise. IT IS THE UNKNOWN.
Maybe a better gauge would be a study of the ALMOST mishaps
USMCFLYR