I doubt if this call even happens, it will be a multiple month recall. As a matter of fact, I doubt we will see a multiple month recall for a long while.

1. Arrival of planes: 2nd plane is coming April 7th. They have not called for that plane or else people would be in training already. So basically the first 2 planes did not result in a single recall albeit that we are below pre Dec 08 staffing levels. 3rd plane is coming end of May. >>>IF<<< they need folks to fly that, they will need them effective June. The last plane is coming in September which is the start of the slow season. If they need pilots to fly that last one, they will not need them until the end of the year, perhaps effective December. The September plane may save them the usual voluntary furlough if even that.

2. Seasonality: Whatever they need for June, will almost cover July, and August. Probably just short for July and August but it will do it.

3. Negotiations: Whatever effect the negotiations will have it will show starting effective July. That is based on this predicted May 8th release. The effect on staffing post negotiations is of course completely unknown to either party. However it is not hard to see that whatever effect there will be it will not result in more pilots. It will be either the same staffing (unlikely) or somewhat lower level of staffing (very likely IMHO) or drastically lower levels (highly unlikely).

All the above tells me no two recalls in a row so you might as well take it now and swallow the pill or be ready to do another year or at least until the end of this year. I hope I will be wrong.