Well, you're obviously very sure that your opinion is the right one, that can really only come with youth or stupidity. That said, two things about the furloughed guys you're missing. 1) People may say things like "there are still alot of furloughs" not because they necessarily think that they will automatically be hired before you at another airline but also because like it or not they WILL be recalled before any hiring takes place at their airline. So until the slack is taken up by the furloughs at a particular airline they won't be hiring no matter how hot you think you are. 2) My first 121 program had five people fail of a class of 18, I passed. 12 other people passed too, that's a known quantity. You haven't gone to a 121 training event probably, therefore we can't speculate whether you'll pass or not.
Lastly, I hate to be the guy that has to say something about this, but you have sooooo little respect for furloughed guys (who lost their jobs through no fault of their own) that I can only hope that you get to walk in their shoes one day. It's a real jerk thing for me to wish that upon you, but you need to grow a compassion bone and nothing helps that like a little first hand experience.