IMO there will be a shortage whether or not it is going to be 10 years down the road or in 3 years is another matter. Witht he new qual's and the industry down the drain. The minute the furloughed pilots have all been called back and the flow starts again I don't believe that there will be enough pilots with the required quals. I think if they implemented 1500TTat a time where people were learning to fly, Night cargo carriers were still going strong and there was a large demand for aviation then it wouldn't be an issue. As of right now theough nto many people are going to be able to make the mins by flight instructing and other such ways.

Also for all of you who have been saying go do something else with your life...I have three things for you.

1) My dream has always been to be an airline pilot. I think it would be the greatest job in the world. If you do not believe that it is so and You are telling people to go do other things with their life I personally believe that you should jsut pack it in. I am sure that there is some furloughed guy out there who would love to go back to work.

2) For those of us with dreams of being a pro pilot I am not going to let an extremly cynical person who has the job I want tell me that I should not pursue my dream cause its not worht it in the end...I don't see them leaving the profession

3) To reitierate. If you are unhappy with your job some one else out there would probably love to have it. Why not let them.