Originally Posted by
Lighteningspeed
I forgot to take into account for those flowing up. Everyone left behind will move up by 45 this year plus 108 in 2011. So if you are currently 750 on the list, you will be roughly 600 on the list. And if you are 800 on the list right now, you will be at the bottom of the list at the end of 2011 (#650).
If DAL continues to hire in 2011, Mesaba MEC needs to renegotiate to increase the number of flowthru per month from 9 to something higher like 20 because Mesaba can handle 20 per month through the end of 2011 without additional expense as XJ has 1175 on the pilot roster.
You're assuming that we actually send 9 per month. I'm not that optimistic.
#1. The flow language is based on sending pilots per month, not per class. So, if DL starts two classes in one month, and none the next, XJ only sends 9 pilots between those two classes, not 18. Nobody knows what the class schedules will look like yet.
#2. It all depends on how many pilots are in each class. Compass gets first crack at it with their flow agreement. If DL has smaller classes, they could be filled with mostly Compass guys, and very few XJ (or none). Hopefully that won't happen though, given the number of pilots DL is expected to hire in late 2010 and 2011.
The flow will help, but being in the high 700s, I'm not counting on it saving me. For people around my seniority, we need the majors to start hiring and a respectable amount of people to leave XJ for other airlines besides DL. I've talked to quite a few who don't want to go to Delta anyway, or can't due to not qualifying for the flow (4 yr. degree).