Originally Posted by
Bucking Bar
If you got back through the thread, the statement that the predictions about Compass were correct was noted. Brake then rebutted that predictions about furloughs were likely going to be incorrect. I confirmed my original furlough forecast (which from 2007 is a little out of date, but historically accurate).
It is the same forecast.
I readily admit it appears unlikely (and I hope it is). You have to remember that what we read in the news about Delta is usually our performance and trends which are extrapolated from last quarter, which means at best, that news is three to four months behind the actual market and a half year away from the data needed to make staffing prognostications. Based on what I see in the US market the reduction in government subsidies and supports, as well as flat line growth and Delta's long term trends, we are out of the woods as Delta pilots.
Brake Chatter was correct that I made that forecast and I'm just being honest and conceding he is correct.
Just to be clear, you also noted that nothing you espoused in terms of your "unity" agenda would have prevented a sale of Compass in any way. You seem to acknowledge that whether Compass was represented by the Delta MEC or their own MEC was immaterial to a sale of the airline. I think you also acknowledged that there is no way to force a merger of Compass and Delta absent some massive incentive (read concessions) to management. Even if we gave these massive concessions to force a merger, you also acknowledge that Compass assets could have still been sold and that small a fragmentation could have left all those pilots furloughed rather than picked up with the sale. Those are the realities in which decisions are made and not in the world of the webboards.
You seem to have an "I told you so" attitude here about your "predictions" yet you also acknowledge that your proposed "solutions" would have had no effect on the outcome. If I predict the stock market will go up every day, I will be right 50% of the time too.