I see 2 things may happen; many will not become pilots if regional pay stays as it is. Why waste 60k or more to become a pilot when I’m only going to make 30k at a regional for x amount of years. Of course the recruiters will sell: “you will be Capt or in a Major in 3 years and making 80k plus!!” Which we all know is bull!!

Secondly, many will start and not get done. Not everyone has what it takes to teach for a year and it will be really hard to build time any other way.

Unless you buy time or buy your own Plane. Which not everyone can do and it would be a waste of money in my option.

Another scenario is increased pilots lying on their log book. Forget multiply by 2 some might multiply by 3 or 4 which is not going to help safety at all. I would rather fly with a guy that has 500 hours knowing he may need help than with a guy that says he has 1500 but in reality has only 300 of actual experience and feeling a false sense of security that he could handle an emergency and find myself dealing with reality at that moment.

The Capt was at fault, but the FO was hired with only 250 hours. The Capt. Upgraded from another AC and (I believe) 100 in type. The FO had more hours in type than the Captain but had less than 1500 hours total at the time of the accident. Correct me if I’m wrong.