Originally Posted by
CheapFlyer
The larger the airline, the longer the upgrade. The days of huge regional growth are over. Only way to move up is due to attrition.
Ok, so you just made my point. The number of pilots has nothing to do with attrition. No one said anything about growth. Although, anything is possible, I certainly wouldn't count on it. Upgrade at ExpressJet for instance will not be any better or any worst post SLI. It all hangs on how many guys move on in the next round, how many guys downgrade on account of quality of life (bases, schedules, and so on), and/or whether or not there are contract protections in place to minimize whipsaw (if unable to reach a SLI between all groups); which has in many cases affected upgrade times by means of fleet reduction.