Originally Posted by
HermannGraf
Not much longer, lets talk about this 2 years from now and lets see how many is standing around to fill any positions. The companies that takes care of their pilots are the ones keeping them when no pilots are to be found...............
Jump for joy? It cost the company $30K to get a pilot on the line. No matter how senior the FO is he is the cheapest labor in the company when it comes to salary. You think he wants to lose that? yeah thats right the cheapest labor.
The person cleaning the mens room is paid for every hour at work. Why dont you divide what an FO is getting paid in one day by 8 (or by the duty time he puts in). That amount hours is a normal working day for other groups or 40 hours per week and see how much per hour that FO gets paid.
So, I dont think so. I think Chip wants to keep their cheapest labor as long as he possible can.
I agree with almost everything but 2 years ago – present day I bet Chip was / is doing a little jig every time a pilot quit (especially a Captain). You know as well as I do that airlines have a hard time seeing past the hands in front of their faces. Respectfully SKW has been one of the better ones at seeing into the future but during a time when profits are shrinking and cost are growing I guarantee Chip was a happy man every time one of his pilots hit the road.
In 2 years I don't think all that much will change as there are plenty of instructors out their who meet ATP mins and are giddy with the thought of back-filling us. Now in 4-5+ years that's a completely different story. I foresee the regionals being in a lot of trouble come 2016 and beyond. And by 2020 I see the regional industry being 1/2 or less the size it is today.