Originally Posted by HSLD

Two things.

First, how many of the aircraft on order are replacement aircraft, vs. new net growth? That make a huge difference on manpower requirements.

Second, Doing some quick guestimation on the orders and options you listed - the forecast numbers for new pilots just don't add up. Depending on work rules, plan 6-8 crews per jet (which globally is an over-estimate), you need roughly 1,600 new net growth airframes per year to reach the 23,000 per year new pilot number.

I don't see it happening, but if Boeing does, explain why Alteon is in mothballs.