I don't think anyone should assume newhires will not go to HKG. They barely got it filled when upward movement stopped and fears of furlough were rampant. Now, with vacancy bids that will likely continue as retirements start in earnest and new airplane need more bodies, it will be even tougher to fill the FO seats in HKG.

How long do you think they will delay HKG FOs bidding out? It may only be 2-5 newhires but it is possible.