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Old 10-11-2010, 11:07 AM
  #49705  
Sink r8
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Joined APC: Jun 2009
Posts: 5,113
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Originally Posted by NuGuy View Post
Something is up. We do have attrition, and staffing is fairly tight. People medical out and quit all the time, so the mandatory retirement number is not a good one to use. 178 have dropped off the list since Jan 2010.
One of the blurbs that addresses this may be Dickson's letter on the latest AE. I think he said we wouldn't be backfilling some narrowbody F/O position because they were learning to make more efficient (for them...) rotations. Considering some of the selling of the merger involved the idea that staffing would have to be increased by having you go to the new work-rules... I'd have to agree some of the math is funny. For starters, analysts want to hear we're keeping capacity down, and pilots want to hear staffing is going up. Takes a lot of real smooth talking, and a lot of fancy math to explain both.

Then there is the slight problem of the 747-200 and DC-9's going, along with airplanes going to the desert, to be pulled out later, where the rate of airplanes going from the desert is going towards infinity, while the rate of aircraft coming from the desert is also mind-numbing, but few people have found rattlesnakes while doing preflights. So there is some confusing desert math (super-dry), and also some funny Chinese math, and who wants to do MD-90 math with the Chinese anyway? 16 airplanes promised for four years + 1 in the paint shop every week for four years X 1 being ferried across monthly = 0 line pilots in an actual a Chinese aircraft. Remember the scene in Airport (I think 77) where Dean Martin tries to explain to the kid how a star went fron one side of the aircraft to the other, but they didn't do a 180? That's another kind of math we're talking about: spacial math from Uranus.

There is of course another area of this math that explains the fact we don't need as many as we thought before and after, which is a lot less funny, and it revives the SLI wounds. So while I'm not super-happy about some of the fuzzy math that's being blown around here lately, it's at least good there is still a job for everyone post-merger, and a few more to boot. That'll work for me.
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