Originally Posted by
Captain Tony
This site has a search feature. Just saying since you're new.
I've said it several times and I'll say it again. I predict that current number of 50+ RJs WILL be frozen/grandfathered. I think that's fair. What's NOT fair is your MEC's still official position that all 50+ RJ flying is going away.
Yes, it will be much better/stronger. The amount of support I currently get from National is so small, it couldn't get much worse. Plus, we won't have them taking our money and using it against us anymore. So I say don't let the door hit ya where the good Lord split ya.
Maybe if your not happy with your representation you should foot a movement for a Regional Pilot Association? We all know a conflict of interest exists between the two groups and the fix for your two groups won't be easy.
That being said, I guess we will have to disagree as to who owns that flying. The facts are that DAL,UAL,et al. buys every single one of your seats on your aircraft.
Lets imagine the lawsuit as a result of your position that the mainline ALPA required the mainline company not to renew the contract with you and that is a breach in your DFR. Reason would stand that ALPA has a DFR to the mainline pilots as well and that if ALPA national does anything to hinder the recapture of that flying, especially in light of the fact that their company owns and markets those routes, that would be a breach of DFR as well. It cuts both ways, doesn't it? At the end of the day, IMO, a judge (or jury) would see both arguments but would tip to mainline simply because they own those routes in the first place and the regional company was simply one of many vendors hired in the regular course of business.
I think you are correct in that there will be freezing of the aircraft numbers. The current contracts must be adhered to unless mainline wants to pay the stated penalty. We both can agree that won't happen. As the contracts expire they will not be renewed. If scope passes it will be a long slow process...years and years.
Economically speaking, the 50 seats are finished except for limited markets..maybe. The 90-120 seat will be the new market...think C-series economics as fuel prices rise (which they will in no uncertain terms).
The 70 seats are the question mark.
If scope passes at the new UA and with the huge retirements coming up for all the mainlines I would consider jumping ship if one is under 45 or less. Those that get in the front of the line now will enjoy a great ride. Lucky the 22 year old.
I do empathize with your predicament. The airline business is merciless and has ruined many lives. I hope its not yours.