I think it will be closer than that. The ATL base is largely Anti-AFA, and the get out the vote drive really make many of those that could care less aware it was going on. It does come down to how these FA's vote. If they actually voted, I suspect a loss for the AFA. Just a guess though.

The ATL AFA base is huge, and in my travels I have found only a few hand fulls of FA's voting yes, most were voting no.