Originally Posted by
13n144e
Sure. Thanks to Age 65, retirements start kicking back in in 2012. Between 2012 and 2020 UAL projects 1910 retirements, CAL 1777. That's an average of 212.2/yr. for UAL and 197.5/yr. at CAL. UAL has about 6497 active pilots and CAL 4804. That means an average retirement per annum of 3.2% at UAL vs. 4.1% at CAL. If you want to include the UAL furloughees, the percentage retirement at UAL decreases much further.
Unless your on a MC, none of us will have anything to say about it and I won't debate it any further. My point is that I think some CAL guys are getting tired of hearing their career expectations are so paltry compared to those on the UAL list. We disagree. Most are willing to let the arbitrator hash it out when the time comes (and it will), but keep hammering on the lofty UAL career expecations

and there will be more CAL guys willing to sit on POS 02 indefinitely.
Not sure if it has been posted elsewhere. Hope this helps.
RETIREMENTS PER YEAR AT AGE 65
UAL CAL
2012 - 263 7
2013 - 235 183
2014 - 231 198
2015 - 201 186
2016 - 167 205
2017 - 228 210
2018 - 246 180
2019 - 239 194
2020 - 271 169
2021 - 330 188
2022 - 305 180
2023 - 383 187
2024 - 356 154
2025 - 461 156
2026 - 508 166
2027 - 503 167
2028 - 574 204
2029 - 539 154
2030 - 561 170
2031 - 407 119