I think so, here's my logic:

Looking at the LGA CRJ FO list, roughly 65 of the 70 FOs have been on the property three years or LESS. This means they have a LONG ways to go until they upgrade. Also, the majority of them are holding lines and getting a decent schedule. I'm also going to make an assumption that most of them either live in the northeast, or dont want to commute to ORD, so they will be staying put unless something really drastic happens. Moral of the story, no movement for any of the current LGA CRJ FOs.

Now looking at LGA ERJ FOs. 35 of 58 FOs have been there three years or MORE. Meaning they are getting really close to upgrade, and one of the most junior upgrades is traditionally LGA ERJ, JFK ERJ, LGA CRJ. I would bet most of them would jump at a chance to take either of those three positions. I'm thinking LGA ERJ will stabilize at about 50 crews, so there will be some lag time before LGA ERJ FOs see some movement, but it will happen long before LGA CRJ FOs see that.

JFK ERJ FO is about the same story. 25 of 33 FOs have been there three years of MORE. Close to upgrade as the same with the above. I think JFK ERJ will stabilize around 40 crews, which means they are much shorter on staffing than LGA. The Jan 17th class actually had a newhire slot for JFK, which was the first we have seen in a long time. A vacancy bid just came out with 5 additional openings for JFK too.

Long story short, things arent exactly booming in NYC for openings, but the LGA CRJ FO list wont be seeing any movement for a long time. If you get LGA CRJ just be comfortable with making multiple trips to the airport per week and being on reserve. If you live locally, reserve can be a really sweet deal.

Lastly, if you get the ERJ and seniority isnt moving in NYC you can transfer to ORD/DFW/MIA EMJ bases (MIA EMJ FO is going to be a rocketship for seniority), but if you are on the CRJ your only two options are ORD/LGA.

Good luck to all!