One never knows. My two favorite jobs were obtained two totally different ways. One was a cold call followed by a 3k mile trip to shake hands and walk the dock. An offer was presented and I was off and running! That was flying Beavers and Otters on floats. The other job took 3 years of resume dropping with an internal rec, followed by an all day interview. 10 person roundtable q/a session included. Took them months from start to finish before I was hired. Quite a difference.
If there's an equation out there, I don't know it. If you've got it figured out, pass it on down the line! Right now is extremely tough. Hang in there, that's headed for a course reversal. Soon, those that fought for their jobs will watch in amazement as jobs are given to those with a cert and a heartbeat.
Good luck to all!