Originally Posted by
jheath
They've been saying there's a supposed pilot shortage "right around the corner" since...ohhhh 1903. And ever since there were two pilots, Wilbur and Orville, for just one plane, there's been a surplus. There is not now, nor has there ever been a pilot shortage.
I'm not saying it's not possible, I'm just saying that stories like this seem to come out once a year. I would love it if there was a pilot shortage because then regionals would be forced to pay more than $20 an hour to new hires, but I just don't see it as likely.
I agree. I don't think we're on the cusp of a 'shortage' but a storm is brewing. There
will be retirements in large numbers at all majors and even regionals starting in just over 18 months. That is not very far off into the future. There is no saying that that means 'shortage', but there is no doubt it will change things. There
will be movement of some sort after years of stagnation.