I'm thinking as pilots edge toward 65, the percentage of medical issues, LTD's, etc will go up. Plus those with large sick banks might begin to develop "vision problems" (Just can't see going to work today). Thus perhaps the "Christmas 2012" we've all been waiting for may begin to appear a little early.

Not sure if there is any cashout of sick time in the US pilot contract, which would effect my theory...

Capt H