Originally Posted by
TonyWilliams
I honestly don't think any ATP/1500 rule is worth the paper it's written on.
I expect any number of the following to continue bid-nes as usual:
1. College training exemptions, lead by ERAU, UND, et al.
2. Military trained exemptions
3. Airline sponsored training exemptions
4. Ab initio program exemptions
5. Multi-Pilot License exemptions
6. "Emergency" exemptions when airlines scream they have to cancel flights since they can't find any more kids who are qualified and want to work for $20k.
I don't think 1500 rule will hold. Majors haven't even announce hiring and regional are starting to run thin on applicants. What will happen when majors start pulling pilots from the regional level? Delta will be on a steady pace of 500 new hires a year going forward along with US Air and others. At the pace of the major's projected numbers I feel you will see a shortage at the regional level. No way 1500 will hold up. If you think this spring was crazy you haven't see nothing yet.